Export Outlook: HKTDC Projects 8-9% Growth in 2026

According to figures released by the Hong Kong Trade Development Council (HKTDC Projects 8-9% Growth in 2026), exports are projected to grow between 8% and 9% in 2026, following a stronger-than-anticipated performance in 2025. This forecast is part of the council’s annual Export Outlook report.

According to the HKTDC's 4Q25 Export Confidence Index, a significant 53.2% of exporters indicated that the rising demand for artificial intelligence (AI) and new technology electronic consumer products is the key factor fueling growth in 2026. This reflects a growing trend among consumers and businesses alike, as the appetite for innovative technological solutions continues to expand.

Furthermore, the electronics sector plays a critical role in the export economy, accounting for more than 70% of the total export value. This dominance underscores the importance of technological advancements in propelling overall export growth, positioning the electronics industry as a vital contributor to Hong Kong's economic landscape in the coming year.

The survey revealed that the Current Performance Index (CPI) stands at 51.4, while the Expectation Index is at 51.9, indicating that both figures are above the 50-point threshold for expansion. This suggests a positive outlook among exporters regarding current and future market conditions.

In terms of market focus, the findings indicated that 42% of respondents identified the Chinese Mainland as their primary market. This was followed by the rest of Asia, which captured 30.3% of respondents' attention, and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) with 18.9%. These preferences reflect the strategic positioning of Hong Kong exporters as they target these vital regions to drive growth and capitalize on emerging opportunities in the marketplace.

Market expectations for growth were notably highest for the Chinese Mainland, with a score of 57.2, closely followed by ASEAN at 57.0. In contrast, expectations for the United States have fallen to 38, indicating a less optimistic outlook for that market.

Additionally, the survey highlighted several potential risks that could impact the economic outlook. Rising labor and production costs emerged as a significant concern, with 53.9% of respondents citing this issue. Furthermore, logistical challenges were reported by 38.8% of participants as a hurdle to efficient operations, while 38.2% noted weakened overseas demand as another factor that could dampen growth prospects. These insights underline the complex landscape in which exporters are operating, as they navigate both opportunities and challenges in the evolving market environment.

In addition to addressing the challenges present in the Asian market, BRASIA offers comprehensive assistance for establishing trading businesses in Hong Kong and China. We provide a flexible and cost-effective solution that enables your company to depend on a dedicated or shared support team in either location.

Our experienced professionals can:

• Communicate effectively with suppliers

• Oversee orders and coordinate inspections

• Manage shipments and logistics

This approach allows you to operate efficiently without the need for your own infrastructure in Asia.

For more information, please contact us at info@brasia.hk.

We invite you to provide a brief overview of your company’s operations and the challenges you face. Our consultants are ready to help you identify the most effective solutions to support your business.